Opinion: ‘This is going to be the most important election since 1860’
- September 27, 2023
- Marty Wattenberg, poli sci, The New York Times, Sept. 27, 2023 (Opinion)
Martin Wattenberg, [professor of political science] at the University of California, Irvine, argued by email that generational change will be a key factor in the election. Between 2020 and 2024, “about 13 million adult citizens will have died” and “these lost voters favored Trump in 2020 by a substantial margin.” … Wattenberg estimated that 15 million young people will become eligible to vote between 2020 and 2024. “How many of them will vote and how they will vote is a key uncertainty that could determine the election,” he wrote. “Given recent patterns, there is little doubt that those that vote will favor the Democratic nominee. But by how much?”
For the full story, please visit https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/27/opinion/trump-biden-election-2024.html.
Related News Items
- Opinion: 'This is going to be the most important election since 1860'
- Opinion: Trump is unraveling before our eyes, but will it matter?
- UC Irvine political science faculty statement on the events of Jan. 6, 2021
- Hundreds of political scientists call for removing Trump
- Older voters really like Joe Biden. That's good news and bad news for him.