Why the Republicans will retain the House in 2016…and 2018…and 2020
- September 23, 2016
- Poli sci prof Tony Smith explains in London School of Economics USAPP, Sept. 22, 2016
Charles Anthony Smith … Anthony McGann … and Alex Keena …at UC Irvine, [write]: This is the result of partisan gerrymandering – the way that state legislatures have drawn the Congressional boundaries following the 2010 Census. In our new book Gerrymandering in America we show that the Democrats would need to win between 54 percent and 55 percent of the vote to have any chance of retaking the House – a result comparable to that of 2008 when Barack Obama was first elected.
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