Modeling shows point‑of‑sale weight surcharge could cut heavy‑SUV market share but would raise billions; annual fees have smaller effects
Modeling shows point‑of‑sale weight surcharge could cut heavy‑SUV market share but would raise billions; annual fees have smaller effects
- October 30, 2025
- David Brownstone, economics, Citizen Portal, Oct. 30, 2025
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David Brownstone [professor emeritus] of the University of California, Irvine, presented modelled consumer responses to weight‑based fees using the DynaSim forecasting framework maintained by the California Energy Commission. Brownstone grouped light‑duty vehicles into 27 vehicle classes by size and fuel type and ran counterfactual simulations comparing a baseline (no new fee) to two stylized fee designs.
For the full story, please visit https://citizenportal.ai/articles/6713171/California/Modeling-shows-pointofsale-weight-surcharge-could-cut-heavySUV-market-share-but-would-raise-billions-annual-fees-have-smaller-effects.
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