Workers in smaller-scale manufacturing and day care are also impacted, said David Neumark, an economist at the University of California, Irvine. But a national increase to $15 would likely affect a much wider swath of workers, especially in low-wage regions, according to Neumark. “If we really go to $15 ... the effects would be broader than what we’ve seen in the past,” Neumark said. In the South, half of the workforce could potentially be affected, in a much wider range of industries, he said.

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