Gary Richardson, a former Fed historian who teaches economics at UC Irvine, says the Fed’s dilemma now is complicated by the fact that it doesn’t have a strong track record of predicting how trade wars spill over into the economy. “There’s no tariffs or trade war in their models,” he said. … “If they’re going to screw up, they’d rather lower rates when they shouldn’t, instead of raising rates.”

For the full story, please visit https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-fed-interest-rate-policy-conundrum-20190618-story.html.

 

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