From The Conversation:
These horse-race presidential polls – in which candidates' current electoral prospects are estimated scientifically – are an ever-present backdrop in election coverage nowadays…. It’s hard to imagine a presidential election season without polls. But the very first scientific horse race poll, which took place 80 years ago, was shrouded in secrecy and may have changed history – even though it was faulty…. Edwin Amenta is a professor of sociology at University of California, Irvine.

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