Bernard Grofman
Jack W. Peltason Endowed Chair
Professor of Political Science and
Adjunct Professor of Economics
Director, Center for the Study of Democracy
University of California, Irvine
Department of Political Science
3151 Social Science Plaza
Irvine CA 92697-5100
949-824-6394
Professor
Grofman
received his B.S. in Mathematics at the University of
Chicago in 1966 and his Ph.D. in Political Science at the University of
Chicago in 1972. He has been teaching at the
University
of California, Irvine since 1976 and a Full Professor since 1980.
He has been a Fellow at the Center
for
Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford, visiting professor
at the University of Michigan and at the University of Washington, and
guest scholar at the Brookings Institution. He has also been a visiting
scholar at the University of Mannheim (Germany) at Kansai University,
Osaka (Japan), at
the University of Bologna (Italy), at the Berlin Science Center
(Germany), at Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona (Spain), and a short
term scholar-in-residence at the University of Tilburg (Netherlands)
and at the University of Victoria (Canada). His past
research
has dealt with mathematical models of group decision making,
legislative
representation, electoral rules, and redistricting. He has also been
involved
in modeling individual and group information processing and decision
heuristics,
and he has written on the intersection of law and social science,
especially
the role of expert witness testimony and the uses of statistical
evidence.
Currently he is working on comparative politics and political economy,
with an emphasis on viewing the United States in comparative
perspective.
He is co-author of 4 books, published or soon to be published by
Cambridge University
Press,
and co-editor of 15 other books; he has published over 200 research
articles
and book chapters, including work in the American Political Science
Review, the American Journal of Political Science, the Journal
of Politics, the British Journal of Political Science, Electoral
Studies, Party Politics,
Social Choice and Welfare, and Public Choice. He
was the 2001-2002 president of the Public Choice Society and
a Fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences since 2001.
MISCELLANEOUS PAPER
Pig and Proletariat: Animal Farm as History. 1978.
SOME UNPUBLISHED WORKING PAPERS
To view the following papers may require Adobe Acrobat. To download Adobe, click here.
Using 1995 bilateral trade patterns among 31
long-term
democracies as
the bases of our analyses, we model the extent to which trade among
these
nations can be characterized in terms of trade blocs. We begin with a
simple
regression of overall trade patterns on the trade patterns with a
handful
of key trading partners. This analysis supports a two-dimensional or
three-dimensional
structure to trade. We then adapt ideas ("k-covers" and "minimal
k-covers")
drawn from graph-theory to evaluate the extent to which the world
consisted
in 1995 of multiple trading blocs centered around leading trading
nations
or sets of geographically proximate nations. Our graph-theoretic
analysis
is supplemented by a multidimensional scaling of the same data. Based
on
these analyses, we argue that, ca. 1995, a tripolar structure (based on
trade links to the U.S., Europe, and Japan) accounted for most of the
variance
from a common pattern of trade, with each of these factors having a
clear
geographic component. In addition, there was a fourth largely
non-geographic
(and non-orthogonal) factor linked to trade between members of the
British
Commonwealth. Above and beyond these patterns, we also find further
national
differences in trading patterns linked to geographic distance (e.g., a
Nordic trade bloc). However, in line with the gravity model, we also
find
that distance is mediated by GDP in that, ceteris paribus, a
country
which borders on (or is geographically proximate to) nations that have
large GDPs is more likely to have a high proportion of its trade with
those
countries than will countries with neighbors who are poor.
Click here to view paper.
Avocations
Neat Stuff
Links of Interest:
Representative
Books Published
Courses Taught Winter 2008
US in Comparative Perspective
Courses Taught Winter, 2007
Advanced Quantitative Methods in Political Science I
Statistics for the Social Sciences Part II-Probabilitiy & Statistics
Courses Taught Winter 2008
US in Comparative Perspective
Courses Taught Winter, 2007
Advanced Quantitative Methods in Political Science I
Statistics for the Social Sciences Part II-Probabilitiy & Statistics
MISCELLANEOUS PAPER
Pig and Proletariat: Animal Farm as History. 1978.
SOME UNPUBLISHED WORKING PAPERS
To view the following papers may require Adobe Acrobat. To download Adobe, click here.
Identifying
Trading
Blocs Among the Long Term Democracies
ca. 1995
Bernard Grofman and Mark Gray
ABSTRACT
Bernard Grofman and Mark Gray
ABSTRACT
Click here to view paper.
What
Does It Mean to Offer a "Solution" to the Problem of Ecological
Inference?
Bernard Grofman and Samuel Merrill
Bernard Grofman and Samuel Merrill
Click here to view paper
RECENT AMICI BRIEFS
Jackson et al. v. Perry
et al. Amici Curiae (Gary King, Bernard Grofman, Andrew Gelman, and
Jonathan
Katz)
Vieth et al. v. Jubelirer et al. Amici Curiae (Bernard Grofman and Gary Jacobson)
Vieth et al. v. Jubelirer et al. Amici Curiae (Bernard Grofman and Gary Jacobson)
Avocations
Neat Stuff
| Link
to A Wuffle's Page (A Wuffle is a
long-time Assistant to Professor who has been recently promoted to Associate to Professor) |
 |
Links of Interest:
UCI homepage
UCI School of Social Sciences
Public Choice Society
UCI Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Science
UCI Center for the Study of Democracy
UCI Interdisciplinary Concentration in Public Choice