Welcome to my Website

Bernard Grofman
Jack W. Peltason Endowed Chair
Professor of Political Science and
Adjunct Professor of Economics
Director, Center for the Study of Democracy
University of California, Irvine
Department of Political Science
3151 Social Science Plaza
Irvine CA 92697-5100
949-824-6394
Professor Grofman received his B.S.
in Mathematics at the University of Chicago in 1966 and his Ph.D. in
Political Science at the Universityof Chicago in 1972. He has
been teaching at the University of California, Irvine since 1976 and a
Full Professor since 1980. He has been a Fellow at the Center for
Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford, visiting professor
at the University of Michigan and at the University of Washington, and
quest scholar at the Brookings Institution. He has also been a
visiting scholar at the University of Mannheim (Germany) at Kansai
University, Osaka (Japan), at the University of Bologna (Italy), at the
Berlin Science Center (Germany), at the Pompeu Fabra University,
Barcelona (Spain), at the University of Paris, II (France) and at
Nuffield College, Oxford University (England), and a short term
scholar-in-residence at the University of Tilburg (Netherlands) and the
University of Victoria (Canada).
To
view the
following papers may require Adobe
Acrobat. To download Adobe, click here.
MISCELLANEOUS PAPER
Pig and
Proletariat: Animal
Farm as History. 1978.
Click here to
view paper.
SOME UNPUBLISHED WORKING
PAPERS
To
view the
following papers may require Adobe
Acrobat. To download Adobe, click here.
Identifying
Trading
Blocs Among the Long Term Democracies
ca. 1995
Bernard Grofman and Mark Gray
ABSTRACT
Using 1995 bilateral trade patterns among 31
long-term
democracies as
the bases of our analyses, we model the extent to which trade among
these
nations can be characterized in terms of trade blocs. We begin with a
simple
regression of overall trade patterns on the trade patterns with a
handful
of key trading partners. This analysis supports a two-dimensional or
three-dimensional
structure to trade. We then adapt ideas ("k-covers" and "minimal
k-covers")
drawn from graph-theory to evaluate the extent to which the world
consisted
in 1995 of multiple trading blocs centered around leading trading
nations
or sets of geographically proximate nations. Our graph-theoretic
analysis
is supplemented by a multidimensional scaling of the same data. Based
on
these analyses, we argue that, ca. 1995, a tripolar structure (based on
trade links to the U.S., Europe, and Japan) accounted for most of the
variance
from a common pattern of trade, with each of these factors having a
clear
geographic component. In addition, there was a fourth largely
non-geographic
(and non-orthogonal) factor linked to trade between members of the
British
Commonwealth. Above and beyond these patterns, we also find further
national
differences in trading patterns linked to geographic distance (e.g., a
Nordic trade bloc). However, in line with the gravity model, we also
find
that distance is mediated by GDP in that, ceteris paribus, a
country
which borders on (or is geographically proximate to) nations that have
large GDPs is more likely to have a high proportion of its trade with
those
countries than will countries with neighbors who are poor.
Click here to
view
paper.
What
Does It Mean to Offer a "Solution" to the Problem of Ecological
Inference?
Bernard Grofman and Samuel Merrill
Avocations
Neat
Stuff
Link
to A Wuffle's Page (A Wuffle is a
long-time Assistant to Professor who has been
recently
promoted to Associate to Professor) |

|
Links of Interest: