Publications
"Expectational Data in DSGE Models " , forthcoming, Handbook of Economic Expectations , edited by R. Bachmann, W. van der Klaauw, and G. Topa, Elsevier. [33]
"Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning " [link ], (with Stephen Cole), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization , Volume 188, Pages 627-650, August 2021. [32]
"Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles " [link ], (with Francisco Ilabaca), Journal of Macroeconomics , Volume 68, June 2021, 103307. [31]
"Perceived Uncertainty Shocks, Excess Optimism-Pessimism, and Learning in the Business Cycle " [link ], (with Pratiti Chatterjee, UNSW), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization , Volume 179, pages 342-360, November, 2020. [30]
"COVID-19 Outbreak, Social Response, and Early Economic Effects: A Global VAR Analysis of Cross-Country Interdependencies " [link ], Journal of Population Economics , Volume 34, pages 223-252, January, 2021. [29]
"Observed Expectations, News Shocks, and the Business Cycle " [link ], (with Ashish Rajbhandari, Amazon), Research in Economics , Volume 74, Issue 2, pages 95-118, June, 2020. [28]
"Bounded Rationality, Monetary Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability " [link ], (with Francisco Ilabaca and Greta Meggiorini, UC Irvine), Economics Letters , Volume 186, Article 108522, January, 2020. [27]
"Learning and the Evolution of the Fed's Inflation Target " [link ], Macroeconomic Dynamics , Volume 24, Issue 8, pages 1904-1923, December 2020. [26]
"Expectations and Macro-Housing Interactions in a Small Open Economy: Evidence from Korea " [link ], (with Sung Ho Park, Bank of Korea), Open Economies Review , Volume 30, Issue 2, pages 375-402, April, 2019. [25]
"Sentiment and the U.S. Business Cycle " [link ], Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , Volume 82, Pages 289-311, September 2017. [24]
"Learning About the Interdependence Between the Macroeconomy and the Stock Market " [link ], International Review of Economics & Finance , vol. 49, pages 223-242, May 2017. [23]
"The Misspecification of Expectations in New Keynesian Models: a DSGE-VAR Approach " [link ], (with Stephen Cole, Marquette University), Macroeconomic Dynamics , Volume 23, Issue 3, pages 974-1007, April, 2019. [22]
"The Effects of Globalization on Macroeconomic Dynamics in a Trade-Dependent Economy: the Case of Korea " [link ], (with Sung Ho Park, Bank of Korea), Economic Modelling , vol. 48, issue C, pages 292-305, August 2015. [21]
"Learning and Time-Varying Macroeconomic Volatility " [link ], Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , Vol. 47, Pages 94-114, October 2014. [20]
"The Modeling of Expectations in Empirical DSGE Models: a Survey " [link ], Advances in Econometrics , Volume 28, pages 3-38, 2012. [19]
"Expectation Formation and Monetary DSGE Models:
Beyond the Rational Expectations Paradigm " [link ], (with Ashish Rajbhandari, UC Irvine), Advances in Econometrics , Volume 28, pages 253-288, 2012. [18]
"The Effects of Monetary Policy "News" and "Surprises" " [link ], (with John Treadwell, UC Irvine), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , Volume 44, Issue 8, pages 1667-1692, December 2012. [17]
"Expectation Shocks and Learning as Drivers of the Business Cycle " [link ], [non-technical summary ],Economic Journal ,
Vol. 121, Iss. 552, pages 379-401, 2011. [16]
"The Impact of Foreign Stock Markets on
Macroeconomic Dynamics in Open Economies: a Structural Estimation " [link ], Journal of International Money and Finance , vol. 30(1), pages 111-129, 2011. [15]
"Has Globalization Transformed U.S.
Macroeconomic Dynamics? " [link ], Macroeconomic Dynamics , Vol. 16, pp 204-229, April 2012. [14]
"Global Slack and Domestic Inflation Rates: A Structural Investigation for G-7 Countries " [link ], Journal of Macroeconomics , Volume 32, Issue 4, pp. 968-981,
December 2010. [13]
"Public Option and Private Profits: What do Markets Expect? " [link ], Applied Health Economics and Health Policy , Volume 8, Number 3, pp. 155-165, May 2010. [12]
"Expectations, Learning, and the Changing Relationship between Oil Prices and the Macroeconomy " [link ], Energy Economics , Volume 31, Issue 6, pages 827-837, November 2009. [11]
"Has Global Slack Become More Important than Domestic Slack in Determining U.S. Inflation? " [link ], Economics Letters , Volume 102, Issue 3, pages 147-151, March 2009. [10]
"Political Business Cycles in the New Keynesian Model " [link ], Economic Inquiry , Volume 48, Issue 4, pages 896-915, October 2010. [9]
"Adaptive Learning and Macroeconomic Inertia in the Euro Area " [link ], Journal of Common Market Studies , Volume 47, Issue 3, Pages 579-599, June 2009. [8]
"Learning, Monetary Policy Rules, and Macroeconomic Stability " [link ], Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , Vol. 32, No. 10, pages 3148-3165, October 2008. [7]
"Monetary Policy with a Wider Information Set: a Bayesian Model Averaging Approach " [link ], Scottish Journal of Political Economy , Vol. 55, No. 1, February, 2008. [6]
"Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence " [link ], Journal of Monetary Economics , Volume 54, Issue 7, Pages 2065-2082, October 2007. [5]
"Econometric Issues in DSGE Models " [link ], (with Dale Poirier, UC Irvine), Comment on "Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models"
by An and Schorfheide, Econometric Reviews , Volume 26, Issue 2 - 4, pages 201 - 204, March 2007. [4]
"A Bayesian DSGE Model with Infinite-Horizon Learning: Do "Mechanical" Sources of Persistence Become Superfluous? " [link ], International Journal of Central Banking , Iss. 6, September 2006. [3]
"Structural Factor-Augmented VARs (SFAVARs) and the Effects of Monetary Policy " , (with Francesco Belviso, Princeton University), Topics in Macroeconomics , Vol. 6, Iss. 3, 2006. [2]
"Parameter Instability, Model Uncertainty and the Choice of Monetary Policy " , (with Carlo A.
Favero, Bocconi University), Topics in Macroeconomics , Vol. 5, Iss. 1, 2005. [1]