MBS 94-12
The Law of One Price in a Network: Arbitrage and Price Dynamics in
Natural Gas city gate Market
Arthur De Vany
This paper develops a model of the law of one price where many markets
are linked in a network with a structure of paths between markets. We show
that the arbitrage-free prices depend on the structure of the network and
so do price dynamics. Our estimates indicate that local bypass and open
access interstate pipeline transportation were instrumental in opening
arbitrage paths into natural gas city gates and causing their prices to
converge. Spot markets in the city gates, pipeline hubs, and production
fields that are scattered over distant points in the vast pipeline network
in the United States now form a single market.